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Cost to Heat a Home in Maine: Oil vs Propane vs Heat Pump

In Maine the cheapest heat last winter was natural gas at $19.89 per MMBtu delivered; electric resistance cost $87.36 — EIA prices, October 2025 to March 2026.

$19.89natural gas, per MMBtu
$87.36electric resistance, per MMBtu
6,471HDD, NOAA state

· Source: EIA STEO September 2026, Natural Gas Monthly, SHOPP · EPM Table 5.6.A (July 2026 data) · next: EIA Winter Fuels Outlook Oct 6, weekly SHOPP prices from October

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Prefilled with Maine's last-winter EIA averages; the second preset applies EIA's national outlook. Per-unit rates only; leave out the fixed monthly charge.

Advanced — efficiencies, gas unit, COP, seasonal load
Cheapest heat here: — per MMBtu delivered
—
Cost per million Btu delivered. Fuels: 10 × therm-equivalent price ÷ AFUE. Electricity: 293.07 × $/kWh ÷ COP, resistance fixed at COP 1.00. Marginal unit prices only. Estimate, not a quote.
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Sliders scale the prefilled prices to test sensitivity; the numeric fields stay the precise inputs. Presets:

Cheapest last winter
Natural gas · $19.89/MMBtu
Most expensive
Electric resistance · $87.36/MMBtu
Natural gas
$1.89/therm, winter avg
Propane
$3.29/gal (state)
Heating oil
$3.73/gal (state)
Electricity
29.81¢/kWh, winter avg
Heat pump COP basis
NEEP median, 3.20/2.17/1.90
Heating degree-days, NOAA state
6,471 (Oct 2025–Mar 2026)
EIA STEO New England division HDD
5,608 last · 4,975 forecast
Federal credit
§25C ended 31 Dec 2025

Why this number

In Maine, the cheapest heat last winter was natural gas at about $19.89 per million Btu delivered, then heating oil at $31.65 and propane at $39.15; electric resistance was the most expensive at $87.36 (EIA average prices, October 2025–March 2026, converted with the site’s standard efficiencies). For this winter EIA’s September outlook moves national heating oil +35%, natural gas -10%, propane -5% and electricity +3%; applied to Maine’s own prices, natural gas stays cheapest at about $17.96. The calculator below ranks every option from the prices on your bills.

Maine paid 29.81¢/kWh for electricity last winter — 33 of 35 on this list of 35 cold-weather states — and $1.89 per therm for gas (32 of 35); propane ran $3.29/gal (25 of 35) and heating oil $3.73/gal (13 of 35). Put on one basis, dollars per million Btu delivered, natural gas was the cheapest heat at $19.89 and electric resistance the dearest at $87.36 — a 67-dollar gap per MMBtu, or about $4,048 over a 60-MMBtu season.

Price basis: Maine’s fuel prices are last winter’s measured EIA and SHOPP averages; the this-winter column scales each by EIA’s national STEO change for that fuel — a labelled estimate, not a state forecast.

Maine heating cost per MMBtu, fuel by fuel

Maine heating cost per million Btu delivered by fuel, last winter measured and this winter estimated
Heating option $/MMBtu delivered, last winter Season cost at 60 MMBtu This winter, EIA outlook applied
Natural gas furnace (95% AFUE) $19.89 $1,194 $17.96 (-10%)
Propane furnace (92% AFUE) $39.15 $2,349 $37.32 (-5%)
Heating oil boiler (85% AFUE) $31.65 $1,899 $42.57 (+35%)
Heat pump at 47°F (COP 3.20) $27.30 $1,638 $28.01 (+3%)
Heat pump at 17°F (COP 2.17, NEEP median 3-ton ducted) $40.26 $2,416 $41.30 (+3%)
Heat pump at 5°F (COP 1.90) $45.98 $2,759 $47.17 (+3%)
Electric resistance (COP 1.00) $87.36 $5,242 $89.63 (+3%)

The season column is an illustrative 60 MMBtu of delivered heat; in Maine that puts natural gas at $1,194 and electric resistance at $5,242 for the winter. The this-winter column applies EIA’s national STEO change per fuel to Maine’s own price (oil +35% is the large one) — direction, not a state forecast.

The prices behind the table

Maine fuel and electricity prices behind the comparison, with source, basis and vintage
Price Last winter average (Oct 2025–Mar 2026) Latest published reading Source and basis
Electricity 29.81¢/kWh 32.41¢/kWh (July 2026) EIA Electric Power Monthly 5.6.A; winter average from the monthly editions
Natural gas $1.89/therm ($19.59/Mcf, 4 of 6 months reported) $31.62/Mcf (June 2026, shoulder-season price) EIA Natural Gas Monthly, residential price by state; 1 Mcf = 10.38 therms
Heating oil $3.73/gal $5.37/gal (week of 2026-03-30) EIA SHOPP weekly survey, Maine, Oct 2025–Mar 2026 average
Propane $3.29/gal $3.52/gal (week of 2026-03-30) EIA SHOPP weekly survey, Maine, Oct 2025–Mar 2026 average

Maine’s June gas figure ($31.62/Mcf) runs 1.6× its winter average ($19.59) because EIA’s residential price is average revenue per Mcf with the fixed charge folded in; the high-volume winter months are the closest published proxy for the marginal rate this page needs.

What Maine’s utilities charge

Maine's largest electric utilities and what resistance and heat-pump heat cost at each one's average price
Utility (largest by customers) Residential customers ¢/kWh (EIA-861 2024) Resistance $/MMBtu Heat pump at 17°F $/MMBtu
Central Maine Power Co 577,955 22.4¢ $65.65 $30.25
Versant Power 137,906 27.5¢ $80.59 $37.14
Electricity Maine, LLC 17,749 16.8¢ $49.24 $22.69

The statewide 29.81¢ hides a 10.7¢ spread between Maine’s largest utilities, worth $31.36 per MMBtu on resistance heat and $14.45 on a heat pump. The ZIP lookup finds yours.

How Maine homes are heated

Share of occupied housing units by main house-heating fuel in Maine and the US, ACS 2019–2023 5-year (table B25040), 589,085 Maine units
Main heating fuel Maine homes US homes
Natural gas (utility) 8.1% 46.8%
Electricity 10.1% 40.8%
Propane (bottled, tank or LP gas) 13.0% 4.9%
Heating oil or kerosene 57.3% 4.1%
Wood 8.8% 1.4%

Heating oil or kerosene heats 57.3% of Maine’s 589,085 occupied homes against 4.1% nationally, with electricity at 10.1%, propane at 13.0% and heating oil at 57.3%. The table above says otherwise for last winter: the households on heating oil or kerosene paid about $31.65 per MMBtu while natural gas delivered the same heat for $19.89, a $11.76 gap on every million Btu.

What the numbers say about Maine

At last winter’s average prices, the cheapest way to heat a home in Maine was natural gas at about $20 per million Btu delivered, and the most expensive was electric resistance at $87 — a 4.4× spread between the two columns. Gas beat a cold-climate heat pump at 17°F (COP 2.17) by $20.37/MMBtu, and at 47°F (COP 3.2, $27.30) the heat pump still trails. At Maine’s winter rates the economic balance point lands above 47°F (COP 4.39 needed against 3.20 available), so the furnace is cheaper at every rated temperature. Heating oil averaged $3.73/gal across 26 SHOPP survey weeks and finished the season at $5.37 on March 30, 2026; EIA’s September outlook puts national oil +35% for this winter, which would carry Maine’s figure to roughly $43/MMBtu. Propane averaged $3.29/gal in the state survey, with a national -5% outlook for this winter.

Heating degree-days: Maine’s own figure and the EIA division forecast

Maine itself logged 6,471 population-weighted heating degree-days from October 2025 to March 2026 (NOAA Climate Prediction Center state series, base 65°F), against 3,500 for the contiguous US. The month-by-month table below is a different, coarser series — EIA STEO New England census division degree-days, the only one with a forecast for the coming winter; it groups Maine with its neighbours and is not a Maine figure:

EIA STEO New England census division heating degree-days (not a state figure): last winter actual and this winter forecast, month by month
Last winter (actual) HDD This winter (STEO forecast) HDD
Oct 2025 382 Oct 2026 400
Nov 2025 757 Nov 2026 670
Dec 2025 1,175 Dec 2026 964
Jan 2026 1,290 Jan 2027 1,125
Feb 2026 1,163 Feb 2027 964
Mar 2026 841 Mar 2027 852
Oct–Mar total 5,608 Oct–Mar total 4,975

January in the EIA New England census division (the coarse series that groups Maine with its neighbours) averaged about 23°F last winter (65°F minus degree-days per day) and is forecast at 29°F for January 2027, a season move of -633 degree-days. Degree-days set how much heat Maine needs, the table above sets the price per unit, and the bill jump calculator multiplies the two.

Heating oil prices in Maine

EIA’s weekly SHOPP survey priced residential No. 2 heating oil in Maine at $3.28/gal in the first October week of the 2025-26 season and $5.37 in the final March week — a season average of $3.73, low $3.23, high $5.41, against a national average of $4.01. The survey resumes in October 2026; the weekly tracker carries every state.

Weekly residential heating oil price in Maine versus the US average, EIA SHOPP, 2025-26 season
Survey week Maine $/gal US $/gal Maine vs US
Oct 6, 2025 $3.28 $3.56 -0.277
Oct 13, 2025 $3.27 $3.54 -0.276
Oct 20, 2025 $3.23 $3.53 -0.291
Oct 27, 2025 $3.25 $3.60 -0.348
Nov 3, 2025 $3.29 $3.63 -0.340
Nov 10, 2025 $3.34 $3.72 -0.378
Nov 17, 2025 $3.39 $3.76 -0.372
Nov 24, 2025 $3.47 $3.79 -0.320
Dec 1, 2025 $3.43 $3.74 -0.309
Dec 8, 2025 $3.43 $3.73 -0.305
Dec 15, 2025 $3.43 $3.70 -0.267
Dec 22, 2025 $3.41 $3.65 -0.233
Dec 29, 2025 $3.41 $3.65 -0.233
Jan 5, 2026 $3.42 $3.64 -0.219
Jan 12, 2026 $3.41 $3.62 -0.214
Jan 19, 2026 $3.41 $3.67 -0.257
Jan 26, 2026 $3.51 $3.84 -0.333
Feb 2, 2026 $3.73 $4.05 -0.325
Feb 9, 2026 $3.76 $4.07 -0.315
Feb 16, 2026 $3.79 $4.07 -0.289
Feb 23, 2026 $3.79 $4.10 -0.308
Mar 2, 2026 $3.90 $4.27 -0.367
Mar 9, 2026 $4.78 $5.09 -0.314
Mar 16, 2026 $4.95 $5.17 -0.216
Mar 23, 2026 $5.41 $5.57 -0.159
Mar 30, 2026 $5.37 $5.54 -0.164

Where the heat pump crosses over in Maine

At last winter’s averages of 29.81¢/kWh and $1.89/therm, a heat pump beats a 95% gas furnace whenever its COP exceeds 4.39. Maine’s economic balance point on the NEEP median curve is above 47°F (COP 4.39 needed against 3.20 available), so the furnace is cheaper at every rated temperature; the crossover tool runs seven named units at Maine’s prices and the dual-fuel calculator turns the answer into a changeover setting.

From October 6 the EIA Winter Fuels Outlook adds household expenditure by region and the weekly SHOPP survey restarts, giving Maine fresh state propane and heating-oil readings on the weekly tracker .

Frequently asked questions

What is the cheapest way to heat a home in Maine?

On last winter’s EIA average prices, natural gas at about $19.89 per million Btu delivered, against heating oil at $31.65 and propane at $39.15. Maine’s ranking uses a 95% gas furnace, 92% propane furnace, 85% oil boiler and a heat pump at COP 2.17; it is per unit of heat, so Maine’s fixed monthly charges and equipment prices sit outside it.

Is a heat pump cheaper than gas in Maine?

At Maine’s last-winter averages of 29.81¢/kWh and $1.89/therm, a heat pump needs a COP above 4.39 to beat a 95% furnace. Against Maine’s required COP 4.39, the NEEP medians (3.20/2.17/1.90 at 47/17/5°F) mean the heat pump loses at every rating point in Maine; the balance point is above 47°F (COP 4.39 needed against 3.20 available), so the furnace is cheaper at every rated temperature.

How much will heating oil and propane cost in Maine this winter?

Nobody publishes a Maine forecast; applying EIA’s September STEO national changes (+35% oil, -5% propane) to Maine’s last-winter $3.73 and $3.29 per gallon gives roughly $5.01 and $3.14 — the ’this winter’ column. Maine’s weekly SHOPP readings resume in October; the Winter Fuels Outlook (October 6) adds household expenditure on top.

Where do the Maine prices on this page come from?

29.81¢/kWh is the EIA Electric Power Monthly average for Maine over the October 2025–March 2026 editions (32.41¢ in July 2026); the share of homes on each heating fuel is Census ACS 2019–2023 5-year table B25040; $19.59/Mcf is the Natural Gas Monthly winter average (4 months), converted at 10.38 therms per Mcf; oil $3.73 and propane $3.29 per gallon are SHOPP state season averages; degree-days are the STEO New England series. Only the ’this winter’ column is an estimate.

How we calculated this

Worked for Maine at last winter’s averages: gas 10 × $1.89 ÷ 0.95 = $19.89/MMBtu; propane 10 × ($3.29 ÷ 0.91452) ÷ 0.92 = $39.15; oil 10 × ($3.73 ÷ 1.385) ÷ 0.85 = $31.65; resistance 293.07 × 0.2981 = $87.36; heat pump $87.36 ÷ 2.17 = $40.26. The this-winter column multiplies each by EIA’s national STEO change for that fuel (electricity ×1.026, gas ×0.903, propane ×0.953, oil ×1.345).

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) electricity rates · DSIRE incentive records · public IRS/OBBBA guidance. Figures are modeled estimates, not quotes or tax advice. See our methodology.

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